Archive for February 2012

THEME: Lessons from 2011

The Analyticon, №02 / February / 2012

The Artsakh Settlement in 2011: Results and Perspectives

By Masis MayIlian
Chairman of the Public Council
for Foreign and Security Policy of Artsakh

The OSCE Summit in Astana can be considered as a starting event of the last “negotiating year.” That forum did not provide any breakthrough document on Karabakh, as far as appropriate conditions within Artsakh, Azerbaijani and Armenian societies had not been created and there were no external conditions for it. In particular, international mediators were not ready to present new approaches or proposals, based on the contemporary realities in the international law.


A Year of Change: Lessons from 2011

Director of Regional Studies Center (RSC)

The region of the South Caucasus has long served as an arena for competing regional powers and, for much of the past two centuries, has been hostage to the competing interests of much larger regional powers, as neighboring Russia, Turkey and Iran have jockeyed for power and influence.


Unrealized Hopes and Alarming Expectations

Political observer of Zerkalo newspaper


The past year of 2011 is a time of unrealized hopes; meanwhile the current 2012 is the year of alarming expectations.

Why should 2011 be most probably treated as a year of unrealized hopes? By many reasons: first, unfortunately, the “reset” policy in the U.S.– Russian relations has been abruptly stopped, although such a result could be predicted. Second, the hopes for recovery of the global economy also have not come true.


Strategic Partnership of Abkhazia and Russia: How to Make it Fruitful and Mutually Beneficial?

Editor-in-chief, “Nuzhnaya gazeta”

Last year was a record for Abkhazia for its significant events and challenges: it bared the contradictions in internal affairs and in relations with the sole strategic partner – Russia. In this regard, a landmark was a document signed by Russia and Georgia in November 2011 without the consent of the Abkhazian leadership: “The fundamental principles of the customs administration and product monitoring mechanism.” The agreement envisages the creation of a “pre-defined trade corridors,” which are defined as the territory of the two states, recognized by Russia two years ago – Abkhazia and South Ossetia.


The South Ossetia: The Lessons of 2011

The Splendor and Misery of the South-Ossetian Democracy 

By Maria PLION
Independent expert

Something, that no impartial expert mighthave predicted, occurred in the Republic of South Ossetia late November 2011:an opposition candidate, whose opponent was openly supported by the Russian President Medvedev, won the election in the second round.


2011: When Civil “Horizontals” Break Authoritarian “Verticals”

Armenian Center of Political and International Studies

Observers named 2011 an “Arab spring” year. However, the following question remains open: whether “spring” is really specifically “Arabic” or we face a more universal process?


What Did the Year 2011?

Chairman of the NGO “Democracy for Development”

It is commonlyaccepted that it is difficult to make predictionsespecially about the future.  Srdja Popovic, one of the foundersand the main organizer of the “Otpor” movement in Serbian, has an interesting story about this.[1] He says – imagine that, in December 2010 you were able to predict what will happenin 2011, and you are invited to appear on TV and tell everything you know about 2011.


The Artsakh Media Suffer Regress

By Anahit Danielyan

The fact, that the year of 2011 had brought nothing new or nothing positive to the Artsakh media, has been stressed more than once by representatives of same media. They also point out that although some progress has been seen in various spheres, mass media have suffered an obvious regress.


ТЕМА НОМЕРА: Уроки 2011

Аналитикон № 02, Февраль, 2012г.

Арцахское урегулирование – 2011: итоги и перспективы

Председатель Общественного совета
по внешней политике и безопасности  Арцаха

Саммит ОБСЕ в Астане можно принять в качестве стартового мероприятия минувшего «переговорного года». На этом форуме не было принято прорывного документа по Карабаху, поскольку для этого не были созданы соответствующие условия внутри обществ Арцаха, Азербайджана и Армении, а также  отсутствовали  внешние условия.